SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
33.58% ( 0.11) | 25.98% ( -0.01) | 40.44% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( 0.08) | 50.43% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( 0.07) | 72.36% ( -0.07) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( 0.11) | 28.52% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( 0.13) | 64.3% ( -0.14) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.01) | 24.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( -0.02) | 59.1% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.44% |
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