SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
60.69% ( -0.77) | 21.53% ( 0.12) | 17.77% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0.56) | 44.74% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( 0.54) | 67.1% ( -0.54) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( -0.06) | 14.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.93% ( -0.11) | 42.07% ( 0.1) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% ( 1.1) | 38.77% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.49% ( 1.03) | 75.51% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 6.45% 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.77% |
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