Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
