SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Queen of the South |
46.79% ( -0) | 24.49% ( -0) | 28.71% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( 0.01) | 45.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( 0.01) | 68.25% ( -0.01) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% | 19.73% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% ( 0) | 51.75% ( -0.01) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( 0) | 29.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( 0) | 65.56% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 4.15% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.79% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.71% |
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