SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
56.83% ( 0.56) | 22.35% ( -0.28) | 20.82% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( 0.88) | 43.82% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( 0.85) | 66.21% ( -0.85) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( 0.49) | 15.21% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.15% ( 0.91) | 43.85% ( -0.91) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% ( 0.22) | 34.98% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( 0.23) | 71.72% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 20.82% |
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