SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 37.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 37.49% | 24.57% ( 0) | 37.93% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 59.33% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( -0.01) | 43.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( -0.01) | 66.03% ( 0.01) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( -0) | 23.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% ( -0) | 56.93% ( 0.01) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( -0) | 22.86% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.4% ( -0.01) | 56.6% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.49% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.93% |
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