SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dumbarton |
31.92% ( -1.83) | 23.62% ( -0.46) | 44.46% ( 2.29) |
| Both teams to score 61.48% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.71% ( 1.57) | 40.29% ( -1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.34% ( 1.6) | 62.66% ( -1.6) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( -0.32) | 24.63% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( -0.45) | 59.14% ( 0.45) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% ( 1.63) | 18.43% ( -1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.39% ( 2.68) | 49.61% ( -2.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.54)2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.92% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.36)0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.25)0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.58% Total : 44.46% |
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