SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
45.66% ( -0.33) | 23.26% ( -0.08) | 31.08% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 62.36% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.05% ( 0.63) | 38.94% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.74% ( 0.66) | 61.26% ( -0.66) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( 0.12) | 17.42% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.14% ( 0.2) | 47.86% ( -0.2) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( 0.57) | 24.49% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.06% ( 0.79) | 58.94% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.01% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.08% |
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