Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
0.29) 
-0.33) 
