SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Hibernian | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Kilmarnock | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Livingston | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 77.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 7.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.67%) and 0-3 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-0 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Kilmarnock |
7.26% ( -0.06) | 14.86% ( -0.03) | 77.88% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 41.27% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( -0.11) | 41.48% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% ( -0.12) | 63.88% ( 0.12) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.23% ( -0.24) | 54.77% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.26% ( -0.15) | 87.74% ( 0.15) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% ( -0) | 8.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.92% ( -0.01) | 30.08% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 7.26% | 1-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.46% Total : 14.86% | 0-2 @ 14.22% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 11.54% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 7.03% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.39% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 77.86% |
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