SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Stenhousemuir | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stirling Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
36.2% ( -3.74) | 25.93% ( -0.38) | 37.87% ( 4.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.13% ( 1.91) | 49.86% ( -1.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% ( 1.68) | 71.86% ( -1.68) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -1.19) | 26.67% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% ( -1.61) | 61.92% ( 1.6) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( 3.35) | 25.72% ( -3.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% ( 4.35) | 60.65% ( -4.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -1.05) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.94)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.52)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0.63)0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.67)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.6)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.54)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.32)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.3)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.87% |
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