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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Airdrieonians |
27.57% ( 0.14) | 25.78% ( 0.04) | 46.65% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.6% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.94% ( -0.06) | 52.06% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.21% ( -0.05) | 73.79% ( 0.05) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.41% ( 0.08) | 33.59% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.77% ( 0.09) | 70.24% ( -0.08) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( -0.1) | 22.3% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( -0.16) | 55.77% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 11.24% 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.65% |
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