SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
56.95% ( 9.9) | 23.31% ( -2.33) | 19.74% ( -7.57) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( 2.29) | 49.32% ( -2.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( 2.03) | 71.37% ( -2.03) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( 4.84) | 17.1% ( -4.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% ( 7.91) | 47.3% ( -7.91) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.75% ( -5.69) | 39.25% ( 5.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.04% ( -5.76) | 75.95% ( 5.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 1.99)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.54)3-0 @ 6.16% ( 1.88)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 1.09)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 1.1)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.77)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.22)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.47)Other @ 2.81% Total : 56.94% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -1.11) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.65)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.47)Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -1.76) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -1.47)0-2 @ 2.94% ( -1.45)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.81)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.68)Other @ 1.39% Total : 19.74% |
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