SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
31.81% ( 0.04) | 25.55% ( 0) | 42.65% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% ( -0) | 49.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0) | 71.16% ( 0) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( 0.02) | 29.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( 0.03) | 64.91% ( -0.03) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( -0.02) | 22.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( -0.03) | 56.66% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.81% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.65% |
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