SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
51.11% ( 1.24) | 23.91% ( -0.29) | 24.98% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.86% ( 0.47) | 46.14% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( 0.45) | 68.44% ( -0.44) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.66) | 18.07% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( 1.12) | 48.99% ( -1.12) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( -0.52) | 32.52% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.95% ( -0.59) | 69.05% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.51% Total : 51.11% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.98% |
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