Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.