SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
45.65% ( 0.53) | 24.7% ( -0.32) | 29.65% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.65% ( 1.29) | 46.35% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% ( 1.21) | 68.63% ( -1.21) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( 0.76) | 20.38% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( 1.2) | 52.8% ( -1.2) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0.51) | 29.09% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( 0.63) | 65.01% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.65% |
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