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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
37.83% ( 0) | 24.37% ( 0.12) | 37.8% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.1% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.36% ( -0.58) | 42.64% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.95% ( -0.58) | 65.05% ( 0.58) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.26) | 22.47% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( -0.39) | 56.01% ( 0.39) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( -0.32) | 22.48% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( -0.48) | 56.04% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.83% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.8% |
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