SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
38.64% ( -0.25) | 26.37% ( -0.05) | 34.99% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( 0.23) | 51.84% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( 0.19) | 73.6% ( -0.2) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( -0.03) | 26.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( -0.04) | 61.31% ( 0.04) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.29) | 28.33% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% ( 0.36) | 64.06% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.99% |
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