SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
43.98% ( -1.2) | 25.51% ( 0.03) | 30.51% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% ( 0.41) | 49.43% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% ( 0.36) | 71.47% ( -0.37) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( -0.38) | 22.42% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( -0.58) | 55.94% ( 0.57) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( 1.03) | 30.06% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( 1.22) | 66.19% ( -1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.51% |
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