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Scottish League One | Gameweek 14
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
AA

Inverness
1 - 0
Alloa

Gilmour (70')
Gilmour (55'), Mckay (81'), Nolan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Waters (42'), Scougall (44')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dunfermline 1-0 Alloa
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 59.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawAlloa Athletic
59.16% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 22.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.08% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.043000000000006 0.04)49.42% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.036999999999999 0.04)71.46% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)16.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)45.98% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.83% (0.049000000000007 0.05)41.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)77.71% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 59.15%
    Alloa Athletic 18.08%
    Draw 22.76%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 12.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 59.15%
1-1 @ 10.82%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 22.76%
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 18.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-2 Inverness
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Inverness 1-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dumbarton 3-1 Inverness
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Inverness 1-0 Annan
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Livingston 2-2 Inverness (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 12 at 2pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Arbroath 1-0 Inverness
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-0 Alloa
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: QotS 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 5-0 Annan
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 0-1 Arbroath
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 0-1 Alloa
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Arbroath
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup


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