Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 84.43%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 5.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.79%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
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