SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
27.9% ( 0.37) | 24.69% ( -0.05) | 47.41% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.7% ( 0.44) | 47.3% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( 0.4) | 69.52% ( -0.4) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( 0.5) | 30.84% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( 0.59) | 67.12% ( -0.59) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( 0.04) | 20.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.79% ( 0.06) | 52.21% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 27.9% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.87% Total : 47.41% |
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