Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
