SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
25.99% ( 0.09) | 24.17% ( 0.18) | 49.85% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( -0.71) | 46.41% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.31% ( -0.68) | 68.69% ( 0.68) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( -0.31) | 31.85% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.71% ( -0.36) | 68.29% ( 0.37) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( -0.38) | 18.67% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( -0.64) | 50% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 25.99% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.36% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.85% |
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