SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
29.75% ( 0.03) | 23.1% ( 0) | 47.14% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.15% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.12% ( 0.01) | 38.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.8% ( 0.01) | 61.19% ( -0.01) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( 0.02) | 25.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( 0.03) | 60.03% ( -0.03) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( -0.01) | 16.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.19% ( -0.02) | 46.8% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.75% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.8% 1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 4.25% Total : 47.14% |
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