SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
48.09% ( 0.08) | 23.51% ( -0.03) | 28.4% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.72% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% ( 0.11) | 41.67% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.93% ( 0.1) | 64.08% ( -0.1) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 0.07) | 17.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.94% ( 0.12) | 48.06% ( -0.12) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( 0.02) | 27.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( 0.02) | 63.11% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.4% |
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