SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Airdrieonians |
20.86% ( 1.8) | 22.51% ( 1.72) | 56.63% ( -3.51) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( -2.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( -5.23) | 44.51% ( 5.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( -5.26) | 66.88% ( 5.27) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( -1.21) | 35.34% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.9% ( -1.28) | 72.09% ( 1.28) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( -2.81) | 15.51% ( 2.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.58% ( -5.52) | 44.42% ( 5.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 1.04) 2-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.86% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 1.01) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 1.15)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 1.27) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 6.15% ( -0.68)0-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.44)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.47)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.66)0-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.52)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.4)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.39)0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.62% |
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