SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
14.48% ( -1.1) | 20.69% ( -1.38) | 64.84% ( 2.48) |
| Both teams to score 47.93% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( 3.57) | 47.06% ( -3.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( 3.23) | 69.3% ( -3.23) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.57% ( 0.62) | 44.43% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.53% ( 0.5) | 80.48% ( -0.5) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.25% ( 1.95) | 13.75% ( -1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.97% ( 3.74) | 41.04% ( -3.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.38% Total : 14.48% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.61) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.96)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.69% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.97) 0-2 @ 12.02% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 7.95% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.48)0-4 @ 3.95% ( 0.48)1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0.44)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.24)0-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.28)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.2)1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.63% Total : 64.83% |
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