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Scottish League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
New Broomfield
KH

Airdrieonians
1 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Gallagher (70')
Fordyce (39'), Ballantyne (77'), Gallagher (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Agyeman (21')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Airdrieonians and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Peterhead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Montrose
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 56.44%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 21.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawKelty Hearts
56.44% (0.40600000000001 0.41) 21.69% (-0.157 -0.16) 21.87% (-0.245 -0.25)
Both teams to score 58.99% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.55% (0.432 0.43)39.45% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21% (0.448 0.45)61.79% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.15% (0.276 0.28)13.85% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.76% (0.536 0.54)41.24% (-0.532 -0.53)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)31.52% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)67.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 56.44%
    Kelty Hearts 21.87%
    Draw 21.69%
AirdrieoniansDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.62% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.037 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 56.44%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.91% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 21.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Peterhead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Clyde 0-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Airdrieonians 4-0 Montrose
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 3-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 2-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Airdrieonians 3-3 QotS
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Montrose
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 2-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 2-1 Clyde
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-0 QotS
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One


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