SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians |
38.31% ( -0.04) | 25.68% ( -0) | 36.01% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% ( 0.01) | 48.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% ( 0.01) | 70.91% ( -0.01) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -0.02) | 25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( -0.03) | 59.65% ( 0.02) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( 0.03) | 26.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( 0.04) | 61.4% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 36.01% |
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