SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
53.54% ( 0.16) | 22.74% ( -0.13) | 23.72% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( 0.56) | 42.16% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( 0.56) | 64.56% ( -0.56) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( 0.25) | 15.73% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( 0.47) | 44.83% ( -0.47) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( 0.28) | 31.42% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( 0.32) | 67.79% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.58% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 23.72% |
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