SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
51.89% ( -0) | 24.54% ( 0) | 23.57% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% ( -0.01) | 50.08% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( -0) | 72.05% ( 0) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( -0) | 19.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.98% ( -0.01) | 51.02% ( 0.01) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% | 35.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.33% | 72.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 51.89% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.57% |
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