SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-0 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
21.33% ( -2.83) | 24.97% ( -0.53) | 53.69% ( 3.36) |
| Both teams to score 47.76% ( -1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.02% ( -0.64) | 53.97% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% ( -0.54) | 75.42% ( 0.54) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( -3.09) | 40.24% ( 3.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.13% ( -2.93) | 76.87% ( 2.93) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 1.13) | 20.08% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( 1.79) | 52.31% ( -1.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.62)2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.26)Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.33% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.76) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 0.94)1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.68)1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.34)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.69% |
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