Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.54%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
