SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Albion Rovers |
62.03% ( -0.63) | 19.63% ( 0.22) | 18.34% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 60.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.09% ( -0.38) | 34.91% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.11% ( -0.42) | 56.89% ( 0.43) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.15% ( -0.27) | 10.85% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.05% ( -0.61) | 34.95% ( 0.61) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% ( 0.19) | 32.27% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.23% ( 0.22) | 68.77% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Albion Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.93% Total : 62.03% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.63% | 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.21% Total : 18.34% |
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