SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 54.57%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
54.57% ( 0.52) | 22.2% ( -0.23) | 23.22% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.04% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.77% ( 0.77) | 40.22% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.4% ( 0.79) | 62.59% ( -0.79) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( 0.44) | 14.71% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.09% ( 0.83) | 42.91% ( -0.84) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( 0.18) | 30.77% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( 0.21) | 67.04% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.57% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 23.22% |
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