Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
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