SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
50.94% ( -0) | 22.99% ( 0.01) | 26.07% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.51% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.95% ( -0.05) | 41.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.56% ( -0.05) | 63.44% ( 0.05) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% ( -0.02) | 16.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.23% ( -0.03) | 45.76% ( 0.03) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( -0.03) | 28.94% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% ( -0.04) | 64.83% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 26.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
