SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
53.74% ( 0.05) | 21.92% ( -0.02) | 24.34% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.43% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.31% ( 0.05) | 37.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.07% ( 0.05) | 59.93% ( -0.05) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( 0.03) | 14.11% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.26% ( 0.06) | 41.74% ( -0.06) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( -0) | 28.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% ( -0.01) | 64.25% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 53.74% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 24.34% |
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