Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Spartans |
29.81% ( -1.9) | 26.65% ( 0.03) | 43.54% ( 1.87) |
Both teams to score 50.33% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.64% ( -0.79) | 54.35% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.26% ( -0.66) | 75.73% ( 0.66) |
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.91% ( -1.76) | 33.09% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% ( -1.99) | 69.68% ( 1.99) |
Spartans Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.22% ( 0.59) | 24.78% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.65% ( 0.83) | 59.35% ( -0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Spartans |
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.81% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.5) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.48% Total : 43.53% |
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