SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
45.77% ( 0.04) | 26.08% ( -0.02) | 28.15% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( 0.05) | 52.89% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% ( 0.05) | 74.5% ( -0.04) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.04) | 23.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( 0.06) | 56.89% ( -0.06) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% ( 0.01) | 33.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.78% ( 0.01) | 70.22% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.76% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.15% |
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