SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Spartans |
36.59% ( 4.67) | 24.96% ( 0.22) | 38.45% ( -4.89) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( 0.02) | 45.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( 0.02) | 67.8% ( -0.02) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( 2.76) | 24.4% ( -2.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( 3.74) | 58.82% ( -3.75) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -2.37) | 23.41% ( 2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% ( -3.56) | 57.4% ( 3.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Spartans |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.61)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.83)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.59)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.56)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.25)Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.59% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.55) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.62)0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.92)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.59)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.69)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.34)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.35)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.45% |
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