Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
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