SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
31.29% ( -0.07) | 25.86% ( 0.01) | 42.85% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( -0.05) | 50.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( -0.04) | 72.49% ( 0.04) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0.07) | 30.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( -0.09) | 66.24% ( 0.09) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( 0.02) | 23.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% ( 0.02) | 57.47% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.29% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2% Total : 42.84% |
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