Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 72.07%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 10.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.