Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
