Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.