Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.