SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
47.5% ( -0.4) | 25.89% ( 0.08) | 26.61% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% ( -0.09) | 53.05% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% ( -0.08) | 74.64% ( 0.08) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.22) | 22.33% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( -0.33) | 55.81% ( 0.34) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( 0.22) | 34.88% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.38% ( 0.23) | 71.62% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.61% |
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